Pre-tourney Rankings
North Carolina St.
Atlantic Coast
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating+12.4#31
Expected Predictive Rating+13.0#30
Pace77.4#27
Improvement-2.6#291

Offense
Total Offense+6.6#29
First Shot+4.5#51
After Offensive Rebound+2.1#40
Layup/Dunks+2.2#98
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#87
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#144
Freethrows-0.5#221
Improvement-3.5#312

Defense
Total Defense+5.8#38
First Shot+5.2#41
After Offensive Rebounds+0.6#111
Layups/Dunks-1.4#241
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#123
3 Pt Jumpshots+7.1#4
Freethrows-1.2#262
Improvement+0.9#134
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 42.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 42.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 11.6 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four37.8% n/a n/a
First Round27.8% n/a n/a
Second Round11.7% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen4.6% n/a n/a
Elite Eight1.1% n/a n/a
Final Four0.3% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.1% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 9.00.0 - 9.0
Quad 1b3.0 - 0.03.0 - 9.0
Quad 25.0 - 0.08.0 - 9.0
Quad 34.0 - 2.012.0 - 11.0
Quad 410.0 - 0.022.0 - 11.0


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 327   Mount St. Mary's W 105-55 98%     1 - 0 +35.9 +20.8 +12.4
  Nov 10, 2018 352   Maryland Eastern Shore W 95-49 99.6%    2 - 0 +22.8 +15.7 +8.2
  Nov 13, 2018 347   UNC Asheville W 100-49 99%     3 - 0 +32.6 +4.0 +22.0
  Nov 17, 2018 333   Maine W 82-63 99%     4 - 0 +4.0 +2.9 +1.0
  Nov 20, 2018 305   St. Peter's W 85-57 98%     5 - 0 +16.6 +10.2 +7.0
  Nov 24, 2018 203   Mercer W 78-74 94%     6 - 0 -1.4 -1.8 +0.3
  Nov 27, 2018 14   @ Wisconsin L 75-79 27%     6 - 1 +14.7 +15.5 -0.8
  Dec 01, 2018 142   Vanderbilt W 80-65 84%     7 - 1 +16.7 +9.8 +6.9
  Dec 05, 2018 283   Western Carolina W 100-67 97%     8 - 1 +23.3 +4.4 +13.4
  Dec 15, 2018 42   Penn St. W 89-78 56%     9 - 1 +21.8 +12.3 +8.2
  Dec 19, 2018 11   Auburn W 78-71 44%     10 - 1 +20.9 +1.5 +18.7
  Dec 22, 2018 335   South Carolina Upstate W 98-71 99%     11 - 1 +10.7 +10.2 -1.7
  Dec 28, 2018 273   Loyola Maryland W 97-64 97%     12 - 1 +23.8 +9.8 +11.0
  Jan 03, 2019 66   @ Miami (FL) W 87-82 57%     13 - 1 1 - 0 +15.5 +14.4 +0.9
  Jan 08, 2019 4   North Carolina L 82-90 27%     13 - 2 1 - 1 +10.8 +3.3 +8.9
  Jan 12, 2019 93   Pittsburgh W 86-80 82%     14 - 2 2 - 1 +8.6 +9.5 -1.4
  Jan 15, 2019 153   @ Wake Forest L 67-71 80%     14 - 3 2 - 2 -0.3 -0.3 -0.2
  Jan 19, 2019 77   @ Notre Dame W 77-73 63%     15 - 3 3 - 2 +13.0 +8.9 +4.1
  Jan 24, 2019 19   @ Louisville L 77-84 31%     15 - 4 3 - 3 +10.7 +8.4 +2.8
  Jan 26, 2019 29   Clemson W 69-67 59%     16 - 4 4 - 3 +12.0 +6.0 +6.0
  Jan 29, 2019 2   Virginia L 65-66 OT 23%     16 - 5 4 - 4 +19.2 +5.1 +14.1
  Feb 02, 2019 12   Virginia Tech L 24-47 45%     16 - 6 4 - 5 -9.4 -35.7 +18.9
  Feb 05, 2019 4   @ North Carolina L 96-113 13%     16 - 7 4 - 6 +7.3 +17.9 -7.6
  Feb 09, 2019 93   @ Pittsburgh W 79-76 66%     17 - 7 5 - 6 +11.1 +17.7 -6.4
  Feb 13, 2019 33   Syracuse W 73-58 63%     18 - 7 6 - 6 +24.0 +3.5 +20.0
  Feb 16, 2019 3   @ Duke L 78-94 12%     18 - 8 6 - 7 +9.3 +10.0 +1.0
  Feb 20, 2019 106   Boston College W 89-80 OT 84%     19 - 8 7 - 7 +10.8 +10.8 -0.6
  Feb 24, 2019 153   Wake Forest W 94-74 90%     20 - 8 8 - 7 +18.1 +12.4 +4.1
  Mar 02, 2019 13   @ Florida St. L 73-78 26%     20 - 9 8 - 8 +14.1 +9.9 +4.3
  Mar 06, 2019 100   Georgia Tech L 61-63 83%     20 - 10 8 - 9 +0.0 -3.8 +3.7
  Mar 09, 2019 106   @ Boston College W 73-47 69%     21 - 10 9 - 9 +33.4 +4.6 +29.2
  Mar 13, 2019 29   Clemson W 59-58 49%     22 - 10 +13.8 +2.7 +11.2
  Mar 14, 2019 2   Virginia L 56-76 16%     22 - 11 +3.0 +0.6 -0.1
Projected Record 22.0 - 11.0 9.0 - 9.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 100.0 100.0 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 100.0% 42.0% 42.0% 11.6 0.1 0.3 1.5 13.7 26.2 0.2 58.0 42.0%
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 42.0% 0.0% 42.0% 11.6 0.1 0.3 1.5 13.7 26.2 0.2 58.0 42.0%